(TFT) football and IQ

["Jay Carlisle" <Jay_Carlisle@charter.net>]

Roethlisberger
A three step 5 yard drop is about 3.5 hexes in ~1 second
A five step 8 yard drop is around 5.5 hexes in ~1.5 seconds
A seven step 11 yard drop is about 7.5 hexes ~2 seconds

A ~60mph pass velocity is 20 hexes per second MA

A receiver with 4.5/40 speed has an MA of ~31 or roughly 6MA per second

When professionals talk about football being a game of inches they are not 
simply referring to moving the ball forward on the field but are also 
talking about issues concerning timing and ranges.
One rule of thumb is the window for a successful pass.
By the high school level a quarterback can expect regular accuracy drills 
including tire drills which is a two foot in diameter target.
At the top level of college competition last year only 5 of the 120 schools 
fielded teams with a completion average below 50% and only 1 had an average 
below 40%.
Of the top 50 one A teams in completion average, only 1 averaged below 60%.
Of the top 10 teams in completion average last year the range was from 
71.83% to 66.33% with a combined record of 98 wins and 28 losses, or around 
3 wins for every loss.
Only 1 of the top 40 teams had a losing record, #21 Colorado St (3-9) 64.21%
8 of the teams between 41 to 50 had losing records (the other 2 were 6-6) 
with completion averages between 61.04% to 59.7%.

Now quarterback accuracy isnt the only factor in completion average, but its 
usually the most heavily weighted and in college its called a 2 foot window 
in physical reference to the old tire drill.
So as a rule of thumb a top performing college QB is expected to hit a ~2 
foot window about 2 out of every 3 throws in competition.
But the pros are playing a game of inches.
A ~6 inch window is about a quarter of the 2 foot window and is about the 
diameter of the target offered by a receivers hands.
As a rookie in the NFL Peyton Manning threw 28 interceptions.
I heard Warren Sapp this week tell a story from Marshal Faulk about Peytons 
rookie year where he kept coming back to the sidelines saying to himself I 
didnt think he could get there.
His point was that the 2 foot window had closed considerably for Manning 
because we play a game of inches.
http://www.danpatrick.com/2011/04/29/warren-sapp-sticks-up-for-sapp-thinks-titans-reach-on-locker/
4:27sec to 5:00min

Manning had a completion percentage that year of 56.7% and has a carrier 
average of 64.95% over 13 seasons.
The average completion percentage in the NFL over the last decade is about 
60%.
Manning obviously got the hang of things.

So as a baseline of pass accuracy I use ~8 foot windows (~2 hexes) for the 
youngest levels of competition.
By around the college level of competition the target window has narrowed to 
around 2 feet.
The window of success at the professional level is about half a foot.
As 1.3 meters is about 4.3 feet, when I draw square-hexes on quarter inch 
graph each square is roughly a square foot (actually 13 inches by 13 inches 
is closer).
So its 2 hexes to start for target size going to 2 squares then half a 
square as the class of competition ramps up.
Completion averages suggest that an average quarterback hits the window at 
their level of competition about 60% of the time with a very good QB 
completing at ~65%+ and subpar QBs throwing around >55% completions.

http://views.washingtonpost.com/theleague/smarterstats/2009/09/quarterback-accuracy-beyond-the-ratings.html

Ownership and management
The minimum salary in the NFL is around 250,000

Seven NFL players currently earn in excess of 10,000,000
4 are quarterbacks, 2 are defensive ends, 1 is a cornerback

Average quarterback salary 1,970,982
Top is Carson (please dont hurt me) Palmer @ 13,500,000

Average defensive end salary 1,583,784
Julius Peppers is the highest paid player in the NFL @ 14,100,000
4 of the leagues 8 highest paid defensive players are ends

Average offensive lineman salary 1,267,402
5 of the top 10 offensive linemen are tackles and 3 are centers
Center Ryan Pontbriand is top @ 8,900,000

Average defensive tackle salary 1,223,925
Dewayne Robertson top @ 7,400,000

Average cornerback salary 1,193,666
Nate Clements top @ 11,100,000

Average linebacker salary 1,175,788
Ray Lewis @ top 9,400,000

Average wide receiver salary 1,054,437
Terrell Owens @ top 9,700,000

Average running back salary 957,360
LaDainian Tomlinson @ top 7,100,000

Average safety salary 947,887
Adam Archuleta @ top 5,100,000

Average kicker salary 868,005
Chris Kluwe @ top 5,000,000

Average tight end salary 863,414
Todd Heap @ top 4,900,000

Different frames of Action require different types of information.

Also of note.
In Desperately Seeking Symmetry on Radio Lab there was an interesting 
account of some research in well clicking?
http://www.radiolab.org/2011/apr/18/
about 5:00
What I found interesting was the particulars of the experiment being 
conducted.
A kind of map of the brain was created using voxel units so that individual 
readings could be compared then the researcher took readings of herself 
telling a story from her past, taking about 15 minuets.
She then took readings of others listening to her story and afterwards asked 
them a series of questions about the story.
She was able to show a correlation between the ability of a listener to 
recall details of the story and the number of voxels between her brain and 
the listeners that were both in the same state.
The more closely the listeners brain mirrored her own brain in the voxel map 
the better the listener was able to recall and answer questions about the 
story.

That is the job of a game master, to be able to mirror their brain in their 
players brains and vice versa.
I call this visuals.

As for voxels

C. Koch lists the total number of neurons in the cerebral cortex of a human 
at 20 billion (Biophysics of Computation. Information Processing in Single 
Neurons, New York: Oxford Univ. Press, 1999, page 87.

Number of neurons in cerebral cortex (rat) = 21 million (Korbo, L., et al., 
J. Neurosci Methods, 31:93-100, 1990)

Heres one of my favs of the rat brain running a little car thingie.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1QPiF4-iu6g

I figure Joe Averages brain @ IQ 10 could run roughly 1000 little cars 
continuously at maximum capacity and par things down from there making 1 
point of IQ the ability to think about 100 little cars of action over a 
given time period at full effort.

This still needs LOADS of work owing both to my own stupidity and a more 
general ignorance regarding our in depth understanding of the brain in suti 
so to speak
As Ive said before, that whole we only use a third of our brain type 
statement is more a measure of what we understand about the brain rather 
than a measure of capacity.

Anyway, the whole little car bit isnt much of a picture of IQ over time 
but it actually is a picture.
IMHO anything that helps a GM/player to mirror those voxels in the shared 
mind that is fantasy role playing games makes for good visuals.

Im philosophically looking at boundaries between rules and play.

Rules as I see them are tools that help establish objective systems for 
organizing brain-voxels.
On the other-hand, a complex rule-set tends to hinder simple play in the 
abstract sense.
Game implies entertainment so as I see it a player shouldnt have to learn a 
boat-load of tools just to participate in play.
This is hardly science or academic stuff were attempting is it, I just 
wanna play.
However, without any rules at all play devolves down to early childhood 
make believe with all the old BANG! I got you!, Uh uh, you MISSED! 
arguments.
Thats a major point to the whole die roll part of the game, its a tool 
that objectifies to the point that everyone who sees a roll of one, one, 
three has the 5 on 3d6 voxels light up.
Moving 5 hexes does similar.

1 point of damage doesnt do this in TFT it seems to me.
1 point of much of anything including the economics seems more weighted to 
the subjective than the objective too me in TFT.
I believe strongly in the abstract play principals of TFT but feel that some 
of the basic mechanics of the rules involving the units of measure most 
specifically could be defined objectively enough to plug real world data 
into a TFT gameworld without making GM/players do any limit process calc 
though approaching from the infinitesimal may be required from a 
professional jargon pov, and Newton can toss my salad, (Leibniz spawned 
Jakob and Johann Bernoulli et. Al. and Newton wouldnt publish like that 
Shakespeare guy or Mother Shipton English heros are somewhat suspect)
I kindda dig Churchill, but not as much as Tommy Douglas
Anyway.
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