Re: (TFT) Nasty Hobbitses - 20% chance of x2 or x3.

[Rick Smith <rsmith@lightspeed.ca>]

That is right.
Warm regards, Rick.

On Thu, 2012-24-05 at 23:23 -0400, Cris Fuhrman wrote:
> Hmmm... What's the chance that at least one of the 12 sha-ken will be a
> double/triple damage hit?
> 
> The probability of double-triple damage is 4/216 (according to
> http://alumnus.caltech.edu/~leif/FRP/probability.html)
> 
> So, if I didn't flub this, the probability that you'd get at least one
> double/triple damage in 12 rolls is 1 - (the probability you roll 12 times
> and DO NOT get double/triple damage), or 1 - ((212 / 216)^12) = 0.200929096
> 
> 20% chance at least one of your 12 sha-ken will do double+ damage. Sound
> right?
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